Atlanta Dream at Las Vegas Aces: projection vs. actual, August 18, 2026
Saved Courtside pregame forecasts beside the verified final result. Each forecast below was captured before this game tipped off.
How the saved forecasts compared
10 comparable playersAcross the players with both a saved pregame forecast and a final result, the average absolute miss was 2.7 minutes and 3.0 points. These are descriptive results for this game, not a model accuracy guarantee.
Angel Reese played 38.7 minutes against 32.3 projected, a 6.4-minute gap in this sample.
A'ja Wilson scored 27 points against 27.0 projected, a 0.0-point gap.
| Player | Minutes Proj / Actual | Difference | Points Proj / Actual | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| A'ja WilsonLas Vegas Aces · StarterForecast saved Aug 18, 3:50 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 34.6 / 34.2 | -0.4 | 27.0 / 27 | -0.0 |
| Chelsea GrayLas Vegas Aces · StarterForecast saved Aug 18, 3:50 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 34.9 / 33.0 | -1.9 | 12.2 / 13 | +0.8 |
| Jackie YoungLas Vegas Aces · StarterForecast saved Aug 18, 3:50 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 33.8 / 34.7 | +0.9 | 21.3 / 24 | +2.7 |
| NaLyssa SmithLas Vegas Aces · StarterForecast saved Aug 18, 3:50 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 26.6 / 22.2 | -4.4 | 12.4 / 10 | -2.4 |
| Jewell LoydLas Vegas Aces · BenchForecast saved Aug 18, 3:50 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 24.7 / 26.2 | +1.5 | 7.5 / 3 | -4.5 |
| Allisha GrayAtlanta Dream · StarterForecast saved Aug 18, 3:50 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 33.7 / 33.0 | -0.7 | 21.7 / 21 | -0.7 |
| Angel ReeseAtlanta Dream · StarterForecast saved Aug 18, 3:50 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 32.3 / 38.7 | +6.4 | 15.2 / 21 | +5.8 |
| Jordin CanadaAtlanta Dream · StarterForecast saved Aug 18, 3:50 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 31.7 / 30.2 | -1.5 | 11.6 / 17 | +5.4 |
| Naz HillmonAtlanta Dream · StarterForecast saved Aug 18, 3:50 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 26.4 / 31.9 | +5.5 | 8.7 / 7 | -1.7 |
| Rhyne HowardAtlanta Dream · StarterForecast saved Aug 18, 3:50 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 34.5 / 38.8 | +4.3 | 17.5 / 23 | +5.5 |
The clock matters.
We use each player's saved pre-tip forecast and compare it with a validated final box score. The table includes only players for whom both records are available. “Difference” is actual minus projected. Average absolute miss measures the size of those differences without cancellations.
Missing forecasts are not filled in after the game. The recap does not claim that the displayed sample represents every player or every Courtside prediction.
See the combined WNBA projection track record
Compare this game with other verified meetings between these teams .
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