Indiana Fever at Atlanta Dream: projection vs. actual, August 16, 2026
Saved Courtside pregame forecasts beside the verified final result. Each forecast below was captured before this game tipped off.
How the saved forecasts compared
12 comparable playersAcross the players with both a saved pregame forecast and a final result, the average absolute miss was 7.0 minutes and 4.5 points. These are descriptive results for this game, not a model accuracy guarantee.
Madina Okot played 18.4 minutes against 6.1 projected, a 12.3-minute gap in this sample.
Aliyah Boston scored 18 points against 17.9 projected, a 0.1-point gap.
| Player | Minutes Proj / Actual | Difference | Points Proj / Actual | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aliyah BostonIndiana Fever · StarterForecast saved Aug 16, 4:36 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 30.9 / 36.8 | +5.9 | 17.9 / 18 | +0.1 |
| Caitlin ClarkIndiana Fever · StarterForecast saved Aug 16, 4:36 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 35.4 / 40.8 | +5.4 | 26.5 / 26 | -0.5 |
| Kelsey MitchellIndiana Fever · StarterForecast saved Aug 16, 4:36 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 35.5 / 35.9 | +0.4 | 29.4 / 20 | -9.4 |
| Lexie HullIndiana Fever · StarterForecast saved Aug 16, 4:36 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 16.2 / 9.7 | -6.5 | 3.8 / 0 | -3.8 |
| Makayla TimpsonIndiana Fever · StarterForecast saved Aug 16, 4:36 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 27.1 / 33.1 | +6.0 | 7.3 / 20 | +12.7 |
| Monique BillingsIndiana Fever · BenchForecast saved Aug 16, 4:36 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 17.5 / 16.3 | -1.2 | 7.2 / 3 | -4.2 |
| Sophie CunninghamIndiana Fever · BenchForecast saved Aug 16, 4:36 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 22.1 / 31.8 | +9.7 | 7.5 / 3 | -4.5 |
| Allisha GrayAtlanta Dream · StarterForecast saved Aug 16, 4:36 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 31.3 / 41.7 | +10.4 | 19.9 / 32 | +12.1 |
| Angel ReeseAtlanta Dream · StarterForecast saved Aug 16, 4:36 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 30.0 / 38.3 | +8.3 | 14.8 / 15 | +0.2 |
| Naz HillmonAtlanta Dream · StarterForecast saved Aug 16, 4:36 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 25.2 / 33.3 | +8.1 | 8.7 / 6 | -2.7 |
| Rhyne HowardAtlanta Dream · StarterForecast saved Aug 16, 4:36 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 32.7 / 42.5 | +9.8 | 17.4 / 17 | -0.4 |
| Madina OkotAtlanta Dream · BenchForecast saved Aug 16, 4:36 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 6.1 / 18.4 | +12.3 | 4.4 / 8 | +3.6 |
The clock matters.
We use each player's saved pre-tip forecast and compare it with a validated final box score. The table includes only players for whom both records are available. “Difference” is actual minus projected. Average absolute miss measures the size of those differences without cancellations.
Missing forecasts are not filled in after the game. The recap does not claim that the displayed sample represents every player or every Courtside prediction.
See the combined WNBA projection track record
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