New York Liberty at Connecticut Sun: projection vs. actual, August 15, 2026
Saved Courtside pregame forecasts beside the verified final result. Each forecast below was captured before this game tipped off.
How the saved forecasts compared
10 comparable playersAcross the players with both a saved pregame forecast and a final result, the average absolute miss was 6.5 minutes and 5.6 points. These are descriptive results for this game, not a model accuracy guarantee.
Marine Johannes played 30.6 minutes against 17.4 projected, a 13.2-minute gap in this sample.
Pauline Astier scored 8 points against 7.9 projected, a 0.1-point gap.
| Player | Minutes Proj / Actual | Difference | Points Proj / Actual | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Breanna StewartNew York Liberty · StarterForecast saved Aug 15, 12:35 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 29.7 / 32.7 | +3.0 | 18.6 / 11 | -7.6 |
| Jonquel JonesNew York Liberty · StarterForecast saved Aug 15, 12:35 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 28.6 / 34.7 | +6.1 | 14.9 / 23 | +8.1 |
| Marine JohannesNew York Liberty · StarterForecast saved Aug 15, 12:35 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 17.4 / 30.6 | +13.2 | 7.4 / 17 | +9.6 |
| Pauline AstierNew York Liberty · StarterForecast saved Aug 15, 12:35 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 20.4 / 25.8 | +5.4 | 7.9 / 8 | +0.1 |
| Rebecca AllenNew York Liberty · StarterForecast saved Aug 15, 12:35 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 23.4 / 29.5 | +6.1 | 7.9 / 6 | -1.9 |
| Han XuNew York Liberty · BenchForecast saved Aug 15, 12:35 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 17.1 / 12.6 | -4.5 | 8.0 / 2 | -6.0 |
| Charlisse Leger-WalkerConnecticut Sun · StarterForecast saved Aug 15, 12:35 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 23.1 / 31.8 | +8.7 | 5.9 / 14 | +8.1 |
| Diamond MillerConnecticut Sun · StarterForecast saved Aug 15, 12:35 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 22.7 / 32.3 | +9.6 | 9.5 / 12 | +2.5 |
| Leila LacanConnecticut Sun · StarterForecast saved Aug 15, 12:35 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 27.5 / 30.7 | +3.2 | 11.3 / 10 | -1.3 |
| Olivia Nelson-OdodaConnecticut Sun · StarterForecast saved Aug 15, 12:35 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 22.8 / 28.0 | +5.2 | 10.3 / 21 | +10.7 |
The clock matters.
We use each player's saved pre-tip forecast and compare it with a validated final box score. The table includes only players for whom both records are available. “Difference” is actual minus projected. Average absolute miss measures the size of those differences without cancellations.
Missing forecasts are not filled in after the game. The recap does not claim that the displayed sample represents every player or every Courtside prediction.
See the combined WNBA projection track record
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