Atlanta Dream at Connecticut Sun: projection vs. actual, August 13, 2026
Saved Courtside pregame forecasts beside the verified final result. Each forecast below was captured before this game tipped off.
How the saved forecasts compared
10 comparable playersAcross the players with both a saved pregame forecast and a final result, the average absolute miss was 7.2 minutes and 7.6 points. These are descriptive results for this game, not a model accuracy guarantee.
Diamond Miller played 10.2 minutes against 25.2 projected, a 15.0-minute gap in this sample.
Naz Hillmon scored 8 points against 8.7 projected, a 0.7-point gap.
| Player | Minutes Proj / Actual | Difference | Points Proj / Actual | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brittney GrinerConnecticut Sun · StarterForecast saved Aug 13, 6:35 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 27.8 / 18.9 | -8.9 | 14.7 / 7 | -7.7 |
| Diamond MillerConnecticut Sun · StarterForecast saved Aug 13, 6:35 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 25.2 / 10.2 | -15.0 | 11.4 / 1 | -10.4 |
| Leila LacanConnecticut Sun · StarterForecast saved Aug 13, 6:35 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 26.9 / 20.2 | -6.7 | 11.1 / 6 | -5.1 |
| Olivia Nelson-OdodaConnecticut Sun · StarterForecast saved Aug 13, 6:36 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 23.8 / 16.6 | -7.2 | 11.3 / 3 | -8.3 |
| Allisha GrayAtlanta Dream · StarterForecast saved Aug 13, 6:35 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 31.9 / 27.8 | -4.1 | 18.9 / 29 | +10.1 |
| Angel ReeseAtlanta Dream · StarterForecast saved Aug 13, 6:35 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 31.8 / 28.3 | -3.5 | 16.2 / 8 | -8.2 |
| Jordin CanadaAtlanta Dream · StarterForecast saved Aug 13, 6:35 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 32.7 / 26.6 | -6.1 | 11.9 / 9 | -2.9 |
| Naz HillmonAtlanta Dream · StarterForecast saved Aug 13, 6:35 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 25.5 / 24.2 | -1.3 | 8.7 / 8 | -0.7 |
| Rhyne HowardAtlanta Dream · StarterForecast saved Aug 13, 6:35 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 33.8 / 29.4 | -4.4 | 16.1 / 29 | +12.9 |
| Brionna JonesAtlanta Dream · BenchForecast saved Aug 13, 6:36 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 19.2 / 4.7 | -14.5 | 9.8 / 0 | -9.8 |
The clock matters.
We use each player's saved pre-tip forecast and compare it with a validated final box score. The table includes only players for whom both records are available. “Difference” is actual minus projected. Average absolute miss measures the size of those differences without cancellations.
Missing forecasts are not filled in after the game. The recap does not claim that the displayed sample represents every player or every Courtside prediction.
See the combined WNBA projection track record
Compare this game with other verified meetings between these teams .
Browse more verified game recaps