Toronto Tempo at Dallas Wings: projection vs. actual, August 12, 2026
Saved Courtside pregame forecasts beside the verified final result. Each forecast below was captured before this game tipped off.
How the saved forecasts compared
5 comparable playersAcross the players with both a saved pregame forecast and a final result, the average absolute miss was 5.7 minutes and 5.0 points. These are descriptive results for this game, not a model accuracy guarantee.
Alanna Smith played 33.5 minutes against 23.5 projected, a 10.0-minute gap in this sample.
Marina Mabrey scored 23 points against 21.7 projected, a 1.3-point gap.
| Player | Minutes Proj / Actual | Difference | Points Proj / Actual | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alanna SmithDallas Wings · StarterForecast saved Aug 11, 7:50 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 23.5 / 33.5 | +10.0 | 8.8 / 13 | +4.2 |
| Arike OgunbowaleDallas Wings · StarterForecast saved Aug 11, 7:50 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 28.2 / 34.6 | +6.4 | 13.3 / 21 | +7.7 |
| Paige BueckersDallas Wings · StarterForecast saved Aug 11, 7:50 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 31.2 / 34.5 | +3.3 | 18.1 / 22 | +3.9 |
| Marina MabreyToronto Tempo · StarterForecast saved Aug 11, 7:50 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 30.0 / 31.0 | +1.0 | 21.7 / 23 | +1.3 |
| Nyara SaballyToronto Tempo · StarterForecast saved Aug 11, 7:50 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 24.6 / 16.8 | -7.8 | 13.9 / 6 | -7.9 |
The clock matters.
We use each player's saved pre-tip forecast and compare it with a validated final box score. The table includes only players for whom both records are available. “Difference” is actual minus projected. Average absolute miss measures the size of those differences without cancellations.
Missing forecasts are not filled in after the game. The recap does not claim that the displayed sample represents every player or every Courtside prediction.
See the combined WNBA projection track record
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