courtside.
WNBA · Final · Sun, Aug 9

Golden State Valkyries at Los Angeles Sparks: projection vs. actual, August 9, 2026

Saved Courtside pregame forecasts beside the verified final result. Each forecast below was captured before this game tipped off.

Golden State Valkyries84–Los Angeles Sparks78

How the saved forecasts compared

14 comparable players

Across the players with both a saved pregame forecast and a final result, the average absolute miss was 2.5 minutes and 3.7 points. These are descriptive results for this game, not a model accuracy guarantee.

Largest minutes difference

Kiah Stokes played 19.6 minutes against 25.2 projected, a 5.6-minute gap in this sample.

Closest points forecast

Nneka Ogwumike scored 16 points against 16.0 projected, a 0.0-point gap.

Courtside saved pregame minutes and points compared with official final results
PlayerMinutes
Proj / Actual
DifferencePoints
Proj / Actual
Difference
Ariel AtkinsLos Angeles Sparks · StarterForecast saved Aug 9, 6:43 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v129.5 / 30.1+0.610.1 / 9-1.1
Dearica HambyLos Angeles Sparks · StarterForecast saved Aug 9, 6:43 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v130.2 / 26.4-3.816.8 / 12-4.8
Erica WheelerLos Angeles Sparks · StarterForecast saved Aug 9, 6:43 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v126.9 / 27.5+0.610.4 / 15+4.6
Nneka OgwumikeLos Angeles Sparks · StarterForecast saved Aug 9, 6:43 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v127.3 / 31.7+4.416.0 / 16-0.0
Rae BurrellLos Angeles Sparks · StarterForecast saved Aug 9, 6:43 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v131.2 / 31.9+0.716.2 / 9-7.2
Cameron BrinkLos Angeles Sparks · BenchForecast saved Aug 9, 6:43 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v119.5 / 21.9+2.410.2 / 7-3.2
Cecilia ZandalasiniGolden State Valkyries · StarterForecast saved Aug 9, 6:43 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v118.4 / 23.5+5.17.5 / 15+7.5
Gabby WilliamsGolden State Valkyries · StarterForecast saved Aug 9, 6:43 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v121.9 / 19.4-2.513.5 / 11-2.5
Kayla ThorntonGolden State Valkyries · StarterForecast saved Aug 9, 6:43 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v124.1 / 27.9+3.88.3 / 11+2.7
Kiah StokesGolden State Valkyries · StarterForecast saved Aug 9, 6:43 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v125.2 / 19.6-5.64.6 / 5+0.4
Veronica BurtonGolden State Valkyries · StarterForecast saved Aug 9, 6:43 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v130.3 / 28.8-1.512.9 / 7-5.9
Janelle SalaunGolden State Valkyries · BenchForecast saved Aug 9, 6:43 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v121.5 / 20.6-0.913.8 / 8-5.8
Kaila CharlesGolden State Valkyries · BenchForecast saved Aug 9, 6:43 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v121.5 / 18.5-3.06.0 / 5-1.0
Tiffany HayesGolden State Valkyries · BenchForecast saved Aug 9, 6:43 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v117.8 / 18.7+0.98.7 / 14+5.3
Method

The clock matters.

We use each player's saved pre-tip forecast and compare it with a validated final box score. The table includes only players for whom both records are available. “Difference” is actual minus projected. Average absolute miss measures the size of those differences without cancellations.

Missing forecasts are not filled in after the game. The recap does not claim that the displayed sample represents every player or every Courtside prediction.

See the combined WNBA projection track record

Browse more verified game recaps