Las Vegas Aces at Indiana Fever: projection vs. actual, August 6, 2026
Saved Courtside pregame forecasts beside the verified final result. Each forecast below was captured before this game tipped off.
How the saved forecasts compared
10 comparable playersAcross the players with both a saved pregame forecast and a final result, the average absolute miss was 8.4 minutes and 3.2 points. These are descriptive results for this game, not a model accuracy guarantee.
Aliyah Boston played 37.6 minutes against 19.8 projected, a 17.8-minute gap in this sample.
A'ja Wilson scored 26 points against 25.3 projected, a 0.7-point gap.
| Player | Minutes Proj / Actual | Difference | Points Proj / Actual | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| A'ja WilsonLas Vegas Aces · StarterForecast saved Aug 6, 6:36 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 28.8 / 37.5 | +8.7 | 25.3 / 26 | +0.7 |
| Chelsea GrayLas Vegas Aces · StarterForecast saved Aug 6, 6:36 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 33.5 / 40.4 | +6.9 | 13.6 / 11 | -2.6 |
| Jackie YoungLas Vegas Aces · StarterForecast saved Aug 6, 6:36 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 28.3 / 35.0 | +6.7 | 17.4 / 22 | +4.6 |
| NaLyssa SmithLas Vegas Aces · StarterForecast saved Aug 6, 6:36 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 24.4 / 37.3 | +12.9 | 12.7 / 14 | +1.3 |
| Jewell LoydLas Vegas Aces · BenchForecast saved Aug 6, 6:36 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 24.8 / 31.2 | +6.4 | 7.7 / 9 | +1.3 |
| Aliyah BostonIndiana Fever · StarterForecast saved Aug 6, 6:36 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 19.8 / 37.6 | +17.8 | 12.2 / 21 | +8.8 |
| Caitlin ClarkIndiana Fever · StarterForecast saved Aug 6, 6:36 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 29.9 / 38.4 | +8.5 | 23.2 / 20 | -3.2 |
| Kelsey MitchellIndiana Fever · StarterForecast saved Aug 6, 6:36 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 30.9 / 39.1 | +8.2 | 26.7 / 28 | +1.3 |
| Monique BillingsIndiana Fever · StarterForecast saved Aug 6, 6:36 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 24.2 / 20.7 | -3.5 | 9.4 / 8 | -1.4 |
| Sophie CunninghamIndiana Fever · BenchForecast saved Aug 6, 6:36 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 23.2 / 28.1 | +4.9 | 9.1 / 2 | -7.1 |
The clock matters.
We use each player's saved pre-tip forecast and compare it with a validated final box score. The table includes only players for whom both records are available. “Difference” is actual minus projected. Average absolute miss measures the size of those differences without cancellations.
Missing forecasts are not filled in after the game. The recap does not claim that the displayed sample represents every player or every Courtside prediction.
See the combined WNBA projection track record
Compare this game with other verified meetings between these teams .
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