Dallas Wings at Washington Mystics: projection vs. actual, August 5, 2026
Saved Courtside pregame forecasts beside the verified final result. Each forecast below was captured before this game tipped off.
How the saved forecasts compared
12 comparable playersAcross the players with both a saved pregame forecast and a final result, the average absolute miss was 6.0 minutes and 5.8 points. These are descriptive results for this game, not a model accuracy guarantee.
Alanna Smith played 32.0 minutes against 12.2 projected, a 19.8-minute gap in this sample.
Michaela Onyenwere scored 10 points against 9.6 projected, a 0.4-point gap.
| Player | Minutes Proj / Actual | Difference | Points Proj / Actual | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alanna SmithDallas Wings · StarterForecast saved Aug 5, 7:05 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 12.2 / 32.0 | +19.8 | 3.9 / 21 | +17.1 |
| Arike OgunbowaleDallas Wings · StarterForecast saved Aug 5, 7:05 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 32.8 / 33.2 | +0.4 | 17.8 / 15 | -2.8 |
| Azzi FuddDallas Wings · StarterForecast saved Aug 5, 7:05 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 33.9 / 34.5 | +0.6 | 13.6 / 9 | -4.6 |
| Jessica ShepardDallas Wings · StarterForecast saved Aug 5, 7:05 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 29.7 / 36.5 | +6.8 | 13.2 / 22 | +8.8 |
| Paige BueckersDallas Wings · StarterForecast saved Aug 5, 7:05 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 31.6 / 37.1 | +5.5 | 18.6 / 17 | -1.6 |
| Georgia AmooreWashington Mystics · StarterForecast saved Aug 5, 7:05 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 23.6 / 28.5 | +4.9 | 6.9 / 12 | +5.1 |
| Kiki IriafenWashington Mystics · StarterForecast saved Aug 5, 7:05 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 26.9 / 25.0 | -1.9 | 14.7 / 11 | -3.7 |
| Michaela OnyenwereWashington Mystics · StarterForecast saved Aug 5, 7:05 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 31.1 / 18.6 | -12.5 | 9.6 / 10 | +0.4 |
| Shakira AustinWashington Mystics · StarterForecast saved Aug 5, 7:05 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 32.0 / 36.1 | +4.1 | 17.7 / 27 | +9.3 |
| Sonia CitronWashington Mystics · StarterForecast saved Aug 5, 7:05 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 28.9 / 36.5 | +7.6 | 14.8 / 12 | -2.8 |
| Cotie McMahonWashington Mystics · BenchForecast saved Aug 5, 7:05 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 20.0 / 26.5 | +6.5 | 5.6 / 18 | +12.4 |
| Lauren BettsWashington Mystics · BenchForecast saved Aug 5, 7:05 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 17.2 / 18.9 | +1.7 | 6.9 / 6 | -0.9 |
The clock matters.
We use each player's saved pre-tip forecast and compare it with a validated final box score. The table includes only players for whom both records are available. “Difference” is actual minus projected. Average absolute miss measures the size of those differences without cancellations.
Missing forecasts are not filled in after the game. The recap does not claim that the displayed sample represents every player or every Courtside prediction.
See the combined WNBA projection track record
Compare this game with other verified meetings between these teams .
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