Connecticut Sun at Dallas Wings: projection vs. actual, August 2, 2026
Saved Courtside pregame forecasts beside the verified final result. Each forecast below was captured before this game tipped off.
How the saved forecasts compared
8 comparable playersAcross the players with both a saved pregame forecast and a final result, the average absolute miss was 6.7 minutes and 6.1 points. These are descriptive results for this game, not a model accuracy guarantee.
Arike Ogunbowale played 22.7 minutes against 34.4 projected, a 11.7-minute gap in this sample.
Jessica Shepard scored 15 points against 13.8 projected, a 1.2-point gap.
| Player | Minutes Proj / Actual | Difference | Points Proj / Actual | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arike OgunbowaleDallas Wings · StarterForecast saved Aug 2, 6:36 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 34.4 / 22.7 | -11.7 | 18.3 / 15 | -3.3 |
| Azzi FuddDallas Wings · StarterForecast saved Aug 2, 6:36 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 35.6 / 24.4 | -11.2 | 13.8 / 12 | -1.8 |
| Jessica ShepardDallas Wings · StarterForecast saved Aug 2, 6:36 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 32.7 / 22.7 | -10.0 | 13.8 / 15 | +1.2 |
| Paige BueckersDallas Wings · StarterForecast saved Aug 2, 6:36 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 33.1 / 24.8 | -8.3 | 20.4 / 6 | -14.4 |
| Charlisse Leger-WalkerConnecticut Sun · StarterForecast saved Aug 2, 6:36 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 27.6 / 25.4 | -2.2 | 6.9 / 0 | -6.9 |
| Diamond MillerConnecticut Sun · StarterForecast saved Aug 2, 6:36 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 25.1 / 29.8 | +4.7 | 10.8 / 22 | +11.2 |
| Leila LacanConnecticut Sun · StarterForecast saved Aug 2, 6:36 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 28.6 / 25.0 | -3.6 | 12.8 / 7 | -5.8 |
| Olivia Nelson-OdodaConnecticut Sun · StarterForecast saved Aug 2, 6:36 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 24.7 / 26.8 | +2.1 | 12.4 / 8 | -4.4 |
The clock matters.
We use each player's saved pre-tip forecast and compare it with a validated final box score. The table includes only players for whom both records are available. “Difference” is actual minus projected. Average absolute miss measures the size of those differences without cancellations.
Missing forecasts are not filled in after the game. The recap does not claim that the displayed sample represents every player or every Courtside prediction.
See the combined WNBA projection track record
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