Los Angeles Sparks at Portland Fire: projection vs. actual, August 2, 2026
Saved Courtside pregame forecasts beside the verified final result. Each forecast below was captured before this game tipped off.
How the saved forecasts compared
11 comparable playersAcross the players with both a saved pregame forecast and a final result, the average absolute miss was 1.8 minutes and 4.4 points. These are descriptive results for this game, not a model accuracy guarantee.
Ariel Atkins played 30.6 minutes against 33.5 projected, a 2.9-minute gap in this sample.
Ariel Atkins scored 12 points against 11.7 projected, a 0.3-point gap.
| Player | Minutes Proj / Actual | Difference | Points Proj / Actual | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ariel AtkinsLos Angeles Sparks · StarterForecast saved Aug 2, 3:05 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 33.5 / 30.6 | -2.9 | 11.7 / 12 | +0.3 |
| Dearica HambyLos Angeles Sparks · StarterForecast saved Aug 2, 3:05 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 29.5 / 29.2 | -0.3 | 14.4 / 23 | +8.6 |
| Erica WheelerLos Angeles Sparks · StarterForecast saved Aug 2, 3:06 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 30.2 / 27.6 | -2.6 | 10.8 / 12 | +1.2 |
| Nneka OgwumikeLos Angeles Sparks · StarterForecast saved Aug 2, 3:05 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 28.1 / 30.2 | +2.1 | 16.8 / 22 | +5.2 |
| Rae BurrellLos Angeles Sparks · StarterForecast saved Aug 2, 3:05 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 32.0 / 29.7 | -2.3 | 16.9 / 12 | -4.9 |
| Cameron BrinkLos Angeles Sparks · BenchForecast saved Aug 2, 3:06 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 18.3 / 20.6 | +2.3 | 9.3 / 7 | -2.3 |
| Bridget CarletonPortland Fire · StarterForecast saved Aug 2, 3:05 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 30.1 / 30.4 | +0.3 | 14.2 / 24 | +9.8 |
| Carla LeitePortland Fire · StarterForecast saved Aug 2, 3:05 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 27.5 / 26.6 | -0.9 | 15.7 / 21 | +5.3 |
| Emily EngstlerPortland Fire · StarterForecast saved Aug 2, 3:06 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 24.1 / 21.6 | -2.5 | 9.2 / 7 | -2.2 |
| Megan DiLeoPortland Fire · StarterForecast saved Aug 2, 3:06 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 26.9 / 29.1 | +2.2 | 14.4 / 19 | +4.6 |
| Frieda BuhnerPortland Fire · BenchForecast saved Aug 2, 3:06 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 17.0 / 18.4 | +1.4 | 7.6 / 3 | -4.6 |
The clock matters.
We use each player's saved pre-tip forecast and compare it with a validated final box score. The table includes only players for whom both records are available. “Difference” is actual minus projected. Average absolute miss measures the size of those differences without cancellations.
Missing forecasts are not filled in after the game. The recap does not claim that the displayed sample represents every player or every Courtside prediction.
See the combined WNBA projection track record
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