Indiana Fever at Portland Fire: projection vs. actual, July 31, 2026
Saved Courtside pregame forecasts beside the verified final result. Each forecast below was captured before this game tipped off.
How the saved forecasts compared
10 comparable playersAcross the players with both a saved pregame forecast and a final result, the average absolute miss was 5.1 minutes and 4.8 points. These are descriptive results for this game, not a model accuracy guarantee.
Aliyah Boston played 30.1 minutes against 17.0 projected, a 13.1-minute gap in this sample.
Emily Engstler scored 10 points against 9.5 projected, a 0.5-point gap.
| Player | Minutes Proj / Actual | Difference | Points Proj / Actual | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aliyah BostonIndiana Fever · StarterForecast saved Jul 31, 9:35 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 17.0 / 30.1 | +13.1 | 11.3 / 14 | +2.7 |
| Caitlin ClarkIndiana Fever · StarterForecast saved Jul 31, 9:35 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 27.4 / 33.8 | +6.4 | 21.6 / 26 | +4.4 |
| Kelsey MitchellIndiana Fever · StarterForecast saved Jul 31, 9:35 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 29.3 / 35.7 | +6.4 | 24.7 / 26 | +1.3 |
| Lexie HullIndiana Fever · StarterForecast saved Jul 31, 9:35 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 19.3 / 13.7 | -5.6 | 5.2 / 3 | -2.2 |
| Monique BillingsIndiana Fever · StarterForecast saved Jul 31, 9:35 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 24.9 / 29.3 | +4.4 | 9.2 / 15 | +5.8 |
| Sophie CunninghamIndiana Fever · BenchForecast saved Jul 31, 9:35 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 24.1 / 26.9 | +2.8 | 10.0 / 13 | +3.0 |
| Bridget CarletonPortland Fire · StarterForecast saved Jul 31, 9:35 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 29.8 / 33.5 | +3.7 | 12.9 / 26 | +13.1 |
| Carla LeitePortland Fire · StarterForecast saved Jul 31, 9:35 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 27.9 / 30.7 | +2.8 | 15.7 / 20 | +4.3 |
| Emily EngstlerPortland Fire · StarterForecast saved Jul 31, 9:35 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 24.3 / 28.0 | +3.7 | 9.5 / 10 | +0.5 |
| Megan DiLeoPortland Fire · StarterForecast saved Jul 31, 9:35 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 27.0 / 25.4 | -1.6 | 15.5 / 5 | -10.5 |
The clock matters.
We use each player's saved pre-tip forecast and compare it with a validated final box score. The table includes only players for whom both records are available. “Difference” is actual minus projected. Average absolute miss measures the size of those differences without cancellations.
Missing forecasts are not filled in after the game. The recap does not claim that the displayed sample represents every player or every Courtside prediction.
See the combined WNBA projection track record
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