courtside.
WNBA · Final · Fri, Jul 31

Seattle Storm at Atlanta Dream: projection vs. actual, July 31, 2026

Saved Courtside pregame forecasts beside the verified final result. Each forecast below was captured before this game tipped off.

Seattle Storm89–Atlanta Dream98

How the saved forecasts compared

10 comparable players

Across the players with both a saved pregame forecast and a final result, the average absolute miss was 3.3 minutes and 3.7 points. These are descriptive results for this game, not a model accuracy guarantee.

Largest minutes difference

Angel Reese played 37.6 minutes against 25.8 projected, a 11.8-minute gap in this sample.

Closest points forecast

Jade Melbourne scored 9 points against 8.7 projected, a 0.3-point gap.

Courtside saved pregame minutes and points compared with official final results
PlayerMinutes
Proj / Actual
DifferencePoints
Proj / Actual
Difference
Awa FamSeattle Storm · StarterForecast saved Jul 31, 7:06 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v131.6 / 29.1-2.511.5 / 8-3.5
Dominique MalongaSeattle Storm · StarterForecast saved Jul 31, 7:05 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v125.6 / 25.3-0.316.4 / 16-0.4
Flau'jae JohnsonSeattle Storm · StarterForecast saved Jul 31, 7:05 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v128.7 / 25.8-2.915.9 / 9-6.9
Jade MelbourneSeattle Storm · StarterForecast saved Jul 31, 7:06 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v126.3 / 25.3-1.08.7 / 9+0.3
Natisha HiedemanSeattle Storm · StarterForecast saved Jul 31, 7:05 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v131.0 / 33.8+2.817.7 / 23+5.3
Allisha GrayAtlanta Dream · StarterForecast saved Jul 31, 7:05 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v130.6 / 31.1+0.519.2 / 16-3.2
Angel ReeseAtlanta Dream · StarterForecast saved Jul 31, 7:05 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v125.8 / 37.6+11.812.9 / 21+8.1
Jordin CanadaAtlanta Dream · StarterForecast saved Jul 31, 7:05 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v133.9 / 31.4-2.511.6 / 10-1.6
Rhyne HowardAtlanta Dream · StarterForecast saved Jul 31, 7:06 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v130.8 / 34.7+3.913.6 / 9-4.6
Brionna JonesAtlanta Dream · BenchForecast saved Jul 31, 7:06 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v121.3 / 17.0-4.310.4 / 14+3.6
Method

The clock matters.

We use each player's saved pre-tip forecast and compare it with a validated final box score. The table includes only players for whom both records are available. “Difference” is actual minus projected. Average absolute miss measures the size of those differences without cancellations.

Missing forecasts are not filled in after the game. The recap does not claim that the displayed sample represents every player or every Courtside prediction.

See the combined WNBA projection track record

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