courtside.
WNBA · Final · Wed, Jul 29

Atlanta Dream at Dallas Wings: projection vs. actual, July 29, 2026

Saved Courtside pregame forecasts beside the verified final result. Each forecast below was captured before this game tipped off.

Atlanta Dream82–Dallas Wings81

How the saved forecasts compared

11 comparable players

Across the players with both a saved pregame forecast and a final result, the average absolute miss was 4.4 minutes and 5.5 points. These are descriptive results for this game, not a model accuracy guarantee.

Largest minutes difference

Naz Hillmon played 21.7 minutes against 31.2 projected, a 9.5-minute gap in this sample.

Closest points forecast

Brionna Jones scored 11 points against 11.2 projected, a 0.2-point gap.

Courtside saved pregame minutes and points compared with official final results
PlayerMinutes
Proj / Actual
DifferencePoints
Proj / Actual
Difference
Arike OgunbowaleDallas Wings · StarterForecast saved Jul 29, 7:35 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v132.6 / 38.1+5.516.3 / 24+7.7
Awak KuierDallas Wings · StarterForecast saved Jul 29, 7:35 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v113.5 / 16.3+2.84.2 / 4-0.2
Azzi FuddDallas Wings · StarterForecast saved Jul 29, 7:35 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v135.8 / 37.1+1.314.1 / 20+5.9
Jessica ShepardDallas Wings · StarterForecast saved Jul 29, 7:35 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v132.7 / 40.0+7.314.7 / 16+1.3
Paige BueckersDallas Wings · StarterForecast saved Jul 29, 7:35 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v133.6 / 37.1+3.521.3 / 16-5.3
Allisha GrayAtlanta Dream · StarterForecast saved Jul 29, 7:35 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v129.9 / 34.3+4.418.6 / 25+6.4
Angel ReeseAtlanta Dream · StarterForecast saved Jul 29, 7:35 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v125.0 / 33.6+8.612.3 / 22+9.7
Jordin CanadaAtlanta Dream · StarterForecast saved Jul 29, 7:35 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v134.3 / 32.3-2.012.7 / 3-9.7
Naz HillmonAtlanta Dream · StarterForecast saved Jul 29, 7:35 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v131.2 / 21.7-9.510.5 / 2-8.5
Rhyne HowardAtlanta Dream · StarterForecast saved Jul 29, 7:35 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v130.7 / 31.7+1.014.3 / 9-5.3
Brionna JonesAtlanta Dream · BenchForecast saved Jul 29, 7:35 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v123.2 / 21.1-2.111.2 / 11-0.2
Method

The clock matters.

We use each player's saved pre-tip forecast and compare it with a validated final box score. The table includes only players for whom both records are available. “Difference” is actual minus projected. Average absolute miss measures the size of those differences without cancellations.

Missing forecasts are not filled in after the game. The recap does not claim that the displayed sample represents every player or every Courtside prediction.

See the combined WNBA projection track record

Browse more verified game recaps