Portland Fire at Las Vegas Aces: projection vs. actual, July 28, 2026
Saved Courtside pregame forecasts beside the verified final result. Each forecast below was captured before this game tipped off.
How the saved forecasts compared
8 comparable playersAcross the players with both a saved pregame forecast and a final result, the average absolute miss was 3.3 minutes and 4.7 points. These are descriptive results for this game, not a model accuracy guarantee.
Carla Leite played 21.6 minutes against 28.7 projected, a 7.1-minute gap in this sample.
Bridget Carleton scored 13 points against 13.4 projected, a 0.4-point gap.
| Player | Minutes Proj / Actual | Difference | Points Proj / Actual | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| A'ja WilsonLas Vegas Aces · StarterForecast saved Jul 28, 9:35 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 26.3 / 30.2 | +3.9 | 22.2 / 28 | +5.8 |
| Chelsea GrayLas Vegas Aces · StarterForecast saved Jul 28, 9:35 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 31.9 / 32.4 | +0.5 | 12.1 / 17 | +4.9 |
| Jackie YoungLas Vegas Aces · StarterForecast saved Jul 28, 9:35 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 26.1 / 28.3 | +2.2 | 14.6 / 25 | +10.4 |
| Jewell LoydLas Vegas Aces · BenchForecast saved Jul 28, 9:35 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 27.4 / 25.1 | -2.3 | 8.6 / 11 | +2.4 |
| Bridget CarletonPortland Fire · StarterForecast saved Jul 28, 9:35 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 31.1 / 27.5 | -3.6 | 13.4 / 13 | -0.4 |
| Carla LeitePortland Fire · StarterForecast saved Jul 28, 9:35 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 28.7 / 21.6 | -7.1 | 16.5 / 11 | -5.5 |
| Emily EngstlerPortland Fire · StarterForecast saved Jul 28, 9:35 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 25.6 / 18.8 | -6.8 | 9.9 / 7 | -2.9 |
| Megan DiLeoPortland Fire · StarterForecast saved Jul 28, 9:35 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 27.1 / 26.8 | -0.3 | 15.0 / 20 | +5.0 |
The clock matters.
We use each player's saved pre-tip forecast and compare it with a validated final box score. The table includes only players for whom both records are available. “Difference” is actual minus projected. Average absolute miss measures the size of those differences without cancellations.
Missing forecasts are not filled in after the game. The recap does not claim that the displayed sample represents every player or every Courtside prediction.
See the combined WNBA projection track record
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