Indiana Fever at Seattle Storm: projection vs. actual, July 28, 2026
Saved Courtside pregame forecasts beside the verified final result. Each forecast below was captured before this game tipped off.
How the saved forecasts compared
11 comparable playersAcross the players with both a saved pregame forecast and a final result, the average absolute miss was 4.5 minutes and 4.6 points. These are descriptive results for this game, not a model accuracy guarantee.
Aliyah Boston played 10.6 minutes against 20.7 projected, a 10.1-minute gap in this sample.
Flau'jae Johnson scored 16 points against 16.1 projected, a 0.1-point gap.
| Player | Minutes Proj / Actual | Difference | Points Proj / Actual | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aliyah BostonIndiana Fever · StarterForecast saved Jul 28, 9:05 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 20.7 / 10.6 | -10.1 | 12.5 / 11 | -1.5 |
| Caitlin ClarkIndiana Fever · StarterForecast saved Jul 28, 9:05 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 25.8 / 33.3 | +7.5 | 19.8 / 32 | +12.2 |
| Kelsey MitchellIndiana Fever · StarterForecast saved Jul 28, 9:05 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 29.5 / 34.7 | +5.2 | 24.9 / 28 | +3.1 |
| Lexie HullIndiana Fever · StarterForecast saved Jul 28, 9:05 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 19.9 / 16.9 | -3.0 | 5.8 / 0 | -5.8 |
| Monique BillingsIndiana Fever · StarterForecast saved Jul 28, 9:05 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 23.9 / 29.9 | +6.0 | 8.4 / 14 | +5.6 |
| Sophie CunninghamIndiana Fever · BenchForecast saved Jul 28, 9:05 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 24.0 / 23.9 | -0.1 | 9.8 / 11 | +1.2 |
| Awa FamSeattle Storm · StarterForecast saved Jul 28, 9:05 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 31.2 / 34.2 | +3.0 | 11.4 / 11 | -0.4 |
| Flau'jae JohnsonSeattle Storm · StarterForecast saved Jul 28, 9:05 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 30.1 / 24.3 | -5.8 | 16.1 / 16 | -0.1 |
| Jade MelbourneSeattle Storm · StarterForecast saved Jul 28, 9:05 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 26.5 / 29.5 | +3.0 | 8.9 / 8 | -0.9 |
| Natisha HiedemanSeattle Storm · StarterForecast saved Jul 28, 9:05 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 30.6 / 34.5 | +3.9 | 16.0 / 33 | +17.0 |
| Zia CookeSeattle Storm · BenchForecast saved Jul 28, 9:05 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 13.8 / 15.2 | +1.4 | 6.7 / 10 | +3.3 |
The clock matters.
We use each player's saved pre-tip forecast and compare it with a validated final box score. The table includes only players for whom both records are available. “Difference” is actual minus projected. Average absolute miss measures the size of those differences without cancellations.
Missing forecasts are not filled in after the game. The recap does not claim that the displayed sample represents every player or every Courtside prediction.
See the combined WNBA projection track record
Browse more verified game recaps