Connecticut Sun at Washington Mystics: projection vs. actual, July 28, 2026
Saved Courtside pregame forecasts beside the verified final result. Each forecast below was captured before this game tipped off.
How the saved forecasts compared
11 comparable playersAcross the players with both a saved pregame forecast and a final result, the average absolute miss was 4.7 minutes and 4.8 points. These are descriptive results for this game, not a model accuracy guarantee.
Aneesah Morrow played 25.9 minutes against 15.1 projected, a 10.8-minute gap in this sample.
Shakira Austin scored 17 points against 16.6 projected, a 0.4-point gap.
| Player | Minutes Proj / Actual | Difference | Points Proj / Actual | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Georgia AmooreWashington Mystics · StarterForecast saved Jul 28, 7:06 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 22.6 / 25.2 | +2.6 | 6.8 / 8 | +1.2 |
| Kiki IriafenWashington Mystics · StarterForecast saved Jul 28, 7:06 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 25.2 / 29.1 | +3.9 | 12.4 / 20 | +7.6 |
| Michaela OnyenwereWashington Mystics · StarterForecast saved Jul 28, 7:06 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 28.7 / 31.0 | +2.3 | 9.5 / 6 | -3.5 |
| Shakira AustinWashington Mystics · StarterForecast saved Jul 28, 7:06 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 30.7 / 32.5 | +1.8 | 16.6 / 17 | +0.4 |
| Sonia CitronWashington Mystics · StarterForecast saved Jul 28, 7:06 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 26.8 / 33.9 | +7.1 | 13.3 / 22 | +8.7 |
| Lauren BettsWashington Mystics · BenchForecast saved Jul 28, 7:06 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 17.3 / 14.5 | -2.8 | 7.1 / 8 | +0.9 |
| Aneesah MorrowConnecticut Sun · StarterForecast saved Jul 28, 7:06 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 15.1 / 25.9 | +10.8 | 6.3 / 21 | +14.7 |
| Charlisse Leger-WalkerConnecticut Sun · StarterForecast saved Jul 28, 7:06 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 28.7 / 23.0 | -5.7 | 7.6 / 2 | -5.6 |
| Diamond MillerConnecticut Sun · StarterForecast saved Jul 28, 7:06 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 26.8 / 21.5 | -5.3 | 10.7 / 12 | +1.3 |
| Leila LacanConnecticut Sun · StarterForecast saved Jul 28, 7:06 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 28.7 / 32.4 | +3.7 | 13.4 / 9 | -4.4 |
| Olivia Nelson-OdodaConnecticut Sun · StarterForecast saved Jul 28, 7:06 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 23.8 / 29.7 | +5.9 | 11.3 / 16 | +4.7 |
The clock matters.
We use each player's saved pre-tip forecast and compare it with a validated final box score. The table includes only players for whom both records are available. “Difference” is actual minus projected. Average absolute miss measures the size of those differences without cancellations.
Missing forecasts are not filled in after the game. The recap does not claim that the displayed sample represents every player or every Courtside prediction.
See the combined WNBA projection track record
Compare this game with other verified meetings between these teams .
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