courtside.
WNBA · Thu, Aug 6–Fri, Aug 21 · selected finals

Portland Fire vs Toronto Tempo: projection vs. actual.

2 verified final games, 22 player forecast-to-result pairs and 8 players with forecasts in multiple meetings. The forecasts were saved before tip-off; this review does not predict their next game.

See the game results
1–1Portland Fire record in these finals
1–1Toronto Tempo record in these finals
22saved pre-tip player comparisons

How each side compared

Selected games only

The table weights each player-game forecast equally. A smaller average absolute miss means the saved projection was closer to the final result among players with both records; it is not a win probability or a future-game forecast.

Head-to-head scores and saved player forecast error by team
TeamRecordPoints scoredCompared playersMinutes avg. abs. missPoints avg. abs. miss
Portland Fire1–117693.04.1
Toronto Tempo1–1165136.76.9
Portland Fire · compared players

Actual minutes averaged 1.3 minutes above the saved forecasts; actual points averaged 0.7 points above the saved forecasts.

Carla Leite had this side's largest points gap: 27 scored against 16.8 saved for Thu, Aug 6 ↗.

Toronto Tempo · compared players

Actual minutes averaged 2.7 minutes below the saved forecasts; actual points averaged 1.0 points below the saved forecasts.

Brittney Sykes had this side's largest points gap: 0 scored against 17.0 saved for Fri, Aug 21 ↗.

Players compared in multiple meetings

8 repeat players

These players had a saved pre-tip forecast and final result in at least two linked games. Averages here are across their own appearances in this selected series, so you can see recurring minutes and points gaps without mixing in other opponents.

Average saved projections and actual results for repeat players in this matchup
PlayerGamesMinutes proj / actualMinutes differencePoints proj / actualPoints difference
Aneesah MorrowToronto Tempo221.1 / 15.4-5.710.5 / 5.5-5.0
Carla LeitePortland Fire225.6 / 30.8+5.115.8 / 17.0+1.2
Emily EngstlerPortland Fire224.1 / 27.3+3.28.9 / 10.0+1.1
Megan DiLeoPortland Fire226.7 / 24.3-2.414.5 / 15.5+1.0
Julie AllemandToronto Tempo229.7 / 31.3+1.66.6 / 8.0+1.4
Laura JuskaiteToronto Tempo227.3 / 28.4+1.110.8 / 13.5+2.7
Bridget CarletonPortland Fire230.6 / 31.1+0.515.6 / 14.0-1.6
Kiki RiceToronto Tempo224.7 / 24.7+0.010.5 / 12.0+1.5

The verified games

Newest first · open the source recap
· final

Portland Fire at Toronto Tempo

79–82
Portland Fire79 points · 4 player pairs5.5 min / 3.6 pts average absolute miss
Toronto Tempo82 points · 6 player pairs10.5 min / 9.7 pts average absolute miss
Open the player-level forecast and final recap
· final

Toronto Tempo at Portland Fire

83–97
Portland Fire97 points · 5 player pairs1.0 min / 4.5 pts average absolute miss
Toronto Tempo83 points · 7 player pairs3.4 min / 4.4 pts average absolute miss
Open the player-level forecast and final recap
Read this sample

Only forecasts saved before each tip-off.

Each linked recap passed the final-score, actual-lineup and saved pre-tip forecast checks. This page requires two distinct games, at least 20 player-game pairs, at least eight pairs from each team and at least five players observed in multiple meetings. Missing forecasts are never filled from a later model run.

This is a selected historical sample, not every meeting between these teams and not a forecast for a future game. Differences are actual minus projected; average absolute misses ignore direction. Follow the source recaps to inspect each included player and capture time.

Browse other qualified WNBA matchups ↗