Las Vegas Aces vs Washington Mystics: projection vs. actual.
2 verified final games, 24 player forecast-to-result pairs and 12 players with forecasts in multiple meetings. The forecasts were saved before tip-off; this review does not predict their next game.
See the game resultsHow each side compared
Selected games onlyThe table weights each player-game forecast equally. A smaller average absolute miss means the saved projection was closer to the final result among players with both records; it is not a win probability or a future-game forecast.
| Team | Record | Points scored | Compared players | Minutes avg. abs. miss | Points avg. abs. miss |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Las Vegas Aces | 2–0 | 169 | 10 | 1.6 | 5.8 |
| Washington Mystics | 0–2 | 152 | 14 | 2.6 | 3.6 |
Actual minutes averaged 0.5 minutes below the saved forecasts; actual points averaged 1.7 points below the saved forecasts.
A'ja Wilson had this side's largest points gap: 15 scored against 27.2 saved for Thu, Aug 13 ↗.
Actual minutes averaged 0.5 minutes below the saved forecasts; actual points averaged 1.7 points below the saved forecasts.
Kiki Iriafen had this side's largest points gap: 5 scored against 14.7 saved for Thu, Aug 13 ↗.
Players compared in multiple meetings
12 repeat playersThese players had a saved pre-tip forecast and final result in at least two linked games. Averages here are across their own appearances in this selected series, so you can see recurring minutes and points gaps without mixing in other opponents.
| Player | Games | Minutes proj / actual | Minutes difference | Points proj / actual | Points difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cotie McMahonWashington Mystics | 2 | 24.5 / 18.4 | -6.0 | 8.6 / 5.0 | -3.6 |
| Chelsea GrayLas Vegas Aces | 2 | 35.0 / 32.1 | -2.9 | 12.9 / 8.0 | -4.9 |
| Kiki IriafenWashington Mystics | 2 | 28.0 / 30.5 | +2.5 | 14.5 / 10.0 | -4.5 |
| Georgia AmooreWashington Mystics | 2 | 20.7 / 22.9 | +2.1 | 5.1 / 1.5 | -3.6 |
| Jewell LoydLas Vegas Aces | 2 | 24.5 / 23.4 | -1.1 | 6.9 / 8.5 | +1.6 |
| Lauren BettsWashington Mystics | 2 | 17.9 / 16.8 | -1.1 | 6.4 / 4.0 | -2.4 |
| NaLyssa SmithLas Vegas Aces | 2 | 28.5 / 29.3 | +0.8 | 13.9 / 8.5 | -5.4 |
| Shakira AustinWashington Mystics | 2 | 31.2 / 30.4 | -0.8 | 19.5 / 24.5 | +5.0 |
| Michaela OnyenwereWashington Mystics | 2 | 24.7 / 23.9 | -0.7 | 7.4 / 3.5 | -3.9 |
| A'ja WilsonLas Vegas Aces | 2 | 34.0 / 34.7 | +0.7 | 27.3 / 20.5 | -6.8 |
| Sonia CitronWashington Mystics | 2 | 33.1 / 33.8 | +0.7 | 16.7 / 18.0 | +1.3 |
| Jackie YoungLas Vegas Aces | 2 | 33.9 / 33.8 | -0.1 | 21.6 / 28.5 | +6.9 |
The verified games
Newest first · open the source recapWashington Mystics at Las Vegas Aces
Washington Mystics at Las Vegas Aces
Only forecasts saved before each tip-off.
Each linked recap passed the final-score, actual-lineup and saved pre-tip forecast checks. This page requires two distinct games, at least 20 player-game pairs, at least eight pairs from each team and at least five players observed in multiple meetings. Missing forecasts are never filled from a later model run.
This is a selected historical sample, not every meeting between these teams and not a forecast for a future game. Differences are actual minus projected; average absolute misses ignore direction. Follow the source recaps to inspect each included player and capture time.
Browse other qualified WNBA matchups ↗