WNBA · Tue, Aug 18–Fri, Sep 18 · selected finals

Indiana Fever vs Toronto Tempo: projection vs. actual.

2 verified final games, 21 player forecast-to-result pairs and 8 players with forecasts in multiple meetings. The forecasts were saved before tip-off; this review does not predict their next game.

See the game results

2–0Indiana Fever record in these finals

0–2Toronto Tempo record in these finals

21saved pre-tip player comparisons

How each side compared

Selected games only

The table weights each player-game forecast equally. A smaller average absolute miss means the saved projection was closer to the final result among players with both records; it is not a win probability or a future-game forecast.

Head-to-head scores and saved player forecast error by team
Team	Record	Points scored	Compared players	Minutes avg. abs. miss	Points avg. abs. miss
Indiana Fever	2–0	204	11	4.7	3.2
Toronto Tempo	0–2	180	10	4.1	3.2

Indiana Fever · compared players

Actual minutes averaged 3.1 minutes below the saved forecasts; actual points averaged 0.8 points below the saved forecasts.

Aliyah Boston had this side's largest points gap: 8 scored against 18.2 saved for Fri, Sep 18 ↗.

Toronto Tempo · compared players

Actual minutes averaged 0.4 minutes above the saved forecasts; actual points averaged 0.6 points above the saved forecasts.

Laura Juskaite had this side's largest points gap: 22 scored against 11.7 saved for Fri, Sep 18 ↗.

Players compared in multiple meetings

8 repeat players

These players had a saved pre-tip forecast and final result in at least two linked games. Averages here are across their own appearances in this selected series, so you can see recurring minutes and points gaps without mixing in other opponents.

Average saved projections and actual results for repeat players in this matchup
Player	Games	Minutes proj / actual	Minutes difference	Points proj / actual	Points difference
Makayla TimpsonIndiana Fever	2	29.0 / 23.1	-6.0	9.3 / 6.0	-3.3
Kelsey MitchellIndiana Fever	2	33.6 / 28.9	-4.7	28.2 / 31.0	+2.8
Isabelle HarrisonToronto Tempo	2	22.8 / 26.1	+3.4	11.8 / 12.0	+0.2
Aliyah BostonIndiana Fever	2	30.6 / 27.4	-3.3	18.0 / 12.0	-6.0
Laura JuskaiteToronto Tempo	2	27.5 / 24.9	-2.6	11.0 / 12.0	+1.0
Sophie CunninghamIndiana Fever	2	21.5 / 23.7	+2.2	6.3 / 9.0	+2.7
Caitlin ClarkIndiana Fever	2	35.3 / 33.5	-1.7	26.3 / 26.0	-0.3
Kiki RiceToronto Tempo	2	27.8 / 29.4	+1.6	12.5 / 14.0	+1.5

The verified games

Newest first · open the source recap

September 18, 2026 · final

Indiana Fever at Toronto Tempo

103–85

Indiana Fever103 points · 6 player pairs4.3 min / 4.0 pts average absolute miss

Toronto Tempo85 points · 4 player pairs2.3 min / 4.0 pts average absolute miss

Open the player-level forecast and final recap

August 18, 2026 · final

Indiana Fever at Toronto Tempo

101–95

Indiana Fever101 points · 5 player pairs5.2 min / 2.3 pts average absolute miss

Toronto Tempo95 points · 6 player pairs5.3 min / 2.8 pts average absolute miss

Open the player-level forecast and final recap

Read this sample

Only forecasts saved before each tip-off.

Each linked recap passed the final-score, actual-lineup and saved pre-tip forecast checks. This page requires two distinct games, at least 20 player-game pairs, at least eight pairs from each team and at least five players observed in multiple meetings. Missing forecasts are never filled from a later model run.

This is a selected historical sample, not every meeting between these teams and not a forecast for a future game. Differences are actual minus projected; average absolute misses ignore direction. Follow the source recaps to inspect each included player and capture time.

Browse other qualified WNBA matchups ↗